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Vol. 62. Issue 3.
Pages 145-210 (March 2026)
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Vol. 62. Issue 3.
Pages 145-210 (March 2026)
Original Article

Prevalence and Prognostic Relevance of Central Pulmonary Embolism: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

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Winnifer Briceñoa,1, Juan Manuel Velascoa,1, Ana Castilloa, Ignacio Jaraa, Laura Lagoa, Edwin Yonga, Gema Díazb, Gregory Piazzac, Behnood Bikdelic,d,e, David Jiméneza,f,g,
Corresponding author
djimenez.hrc@gmail.com

Corresponding author.
a Respiratory Department, Ramón y Cajal Hospital (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain
b Respiratory Department, Hospital Puerta de Hierro, Madrid, Spain
c Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
d Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA
e Cardiovascular Research Foundation, New York, USA
f Medicine Department, Universidad de Alcalá (IRYCIS), Madrid, Spain
g CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Madrid, Spain
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Abstract
Background

In patients with acute symptomatic pulmonary embolism (PE), embolic burden has an uncertain prognostic significance.

Methods

We performed a meta-analysis of studies including patients with PE to assess the prevalence and prognostic relevance of central PE (i.e., saddle or main pulmonary emboli) for short-term death and other adverse outcome events. A random-effects model was used to pool study results, and I2 testing was used to test for heterogeneity.

Results

Data from 28 studies (205,877 patients) were included in the analysis. Of the 26 studies with 205,410 participants that enrolled consecutive patients with PE, 7748 (3.8%) had central PE. Though there was no statistically significant difference between central and noncentral PE for odds of short-term all-cause mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.91–1.55), central PE had a significant association with short-term PE-related deterioration or death (OR, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.44–4.25). Results from 9 studies with 4325 PE patients that had available data showed that central PE had a significant association with the odds of short-term PE-related mortality (OR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.22–2.55). Results were consistent for prospective (OR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.21–2.32), and studies that only enrolled stable patients (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.06–1.92).

Conclusions

Central PE was an uncommon finding in unselected patients diagnosed with PE. While central thrombus did not have an association with increased risk of all-cause mortality, it was significantly associated with an increased risk of PE-related deterioration and death short after diagnosis.

Keywords:
Pulmonary embolism
Prognosis
Mortality
Central
Saddle
Meta-analysis
Graphical abstract

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