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Vol. 62. Issue 9.
Pages 611-684 (September 2026)
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Vol. 62. Issue 9.
Pages 611-684 (September 2026)
Original Article

EPIMETRIC: A cfDNA Methylation-Based Algorithm for COPD Diagnosis and Stratification

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Abel Garcia-Diaza,b,1, Valeria Denninghoffa,c,d,1, Cristóbal Fresnoa,e,1, María Pilar Molina-Vallejoa, Javier Luis López-Hidalgod, Jose Antonio Lorentea,b,f, Guillermo Barturen-Briñasg,h,i, Elena Carnero-Montorog, Marta Alarcon-Riquelmeg, Diego de Miguel Pereza,b, Juan José Cruz-Ruedaj, Pedro José Romero-Palaciosk, Bernardino Alcázar-Navarretek,l,m, María José Serranoa,b,n,
Corresponding author
mjose.serrano@genyo.es

Corresponding author.
a Liquid Biopsy and Cancer Interception Group, Centro de Genómica e Investigación Oncológica (GENyO), Pfizer/Universidad de Granada/Junta de Andalucía, Spain
b Instituto de Investigación Biosanitaria ibs.GRANADA, Granada, Spain
c Department of Pathology, Hospital Universitario Clínico San Cecilio, Ibs.GRANADA, Spain
d Molecular-Clinical Laboratory, Universidad de Buenos Aires (UBA) – Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET), Argentina
e Centro de Investigación en Ciencias de la Salud (CICSA), Universidad Anáhuac, Mexico
f Department of Legal Medicine, LABIGEN-UGR, Universidad de Granada, School of Medicine, Granada, Spain
g Genetics of Complex Diseases Group, Centro de Genómica e Investigación Oncológica (GENyO), Pfizer/Universidad de Granada/Junta de Andalucía, Spain
h Department of Genetics, Faculty of Science, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain
i Bioinformatics Laboratory, Biotechnology Institute, Centro de Investigación Biomédica, PTS, Granada, Spain
j Pulmonology Clinical Management Unit, Hospital Universitario Torrecárdenas, Almería, Spain
k Department of Medicine, Universidad de Granada, Granada, Spain
l Pneumology Service, Hospital Universitario Virgen de las Nieves, ibs.GRANADA, Granada, Spain
m CIBER de Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Spain
n Department of Pathology, Hospital Universitario Virgen de las Nieves, Ibs.GRANADA, Spain
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Abstract
Objective

To develop a blood-based algorithm using cell-free DNA (cfDNA) methylation profiles to diagnose and stratify patients with COPD according to the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) classification.

Methods

Between 2021 and 2023, 166 participants were enrolled, including patients with COPD (N=80) and healthy controls (N=86) from three hospitals in Andalusia. Genome-wide cfDNA methylation analysis was performed in 128 individuals to identify CpG sites discriminating COPD from healthy individuals and to stratify COPD patients by GOLD categories. A hierarchical support vector machine (SVM) classifier was implemented, and functional enrichment analyses were conducted to assess biological relevance.

Results

Differential methylation analysis identified 354 genes associated with COPD, 496 with GOLD classification, and 125 overlapping genes. The SVM classifier trained on cfDNA methylation features achieved complete separation between COPD and control groups, enabling a hard-margin model. This cfDNA-based classifier (EPIMETRIC) also distinguished GOLD A, B, and D subgroups. Enrichment analysis revealed pathways including glutamatergic synapse, nicotine addiction, tight junction, and Hippo signaling.

Conclusions

EPIMETRIC represents the first blood-based cfDNA methylation signature for COPD diagnosis and GOLD stratification. It provides a minimally invasive and highly accurate tool for early detection, personalized treatment, and identification of high-risk patients.

Keywords:
COPD
cfDNA
Epigenetic
GOLD
Machine learning
SVM
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