TY - JOUR T1 - [Translated article] Surgical Risk Following Anatomic Lung Resection in Thoracic Surgery: A Prediction Model Derived From a Spanish Multicenter Database JO - Archivos de Bronconeumología T2 - AU - Gómez de Antonio,David AU - Crowley Carrasco,Silvana AU - Romero Román,Alejandra AU - Royuela,Ana AU - Calle,Álvaro Sánchez AU - Obiols Fornell,Carme AU - Call Caja,Sergi AU - Embún,Raúl AU - Royo,Íñigo AU - Recuero,José Luis AU - Cabañero,Alberto AU - Moreno,Nicolás AU - Bolufer,Sergio AU - Congregado,Miguel AU - Jimenez,Marcelo F. AU - Aguinagalde,Borja AU - Amor-Alonso,Sergio AU - Arrarás,Miguel Jesús AU - Blanco Orozco,Ana Isabel AU - Boada,Marc AU - Cal,Isabel AU - Cilleruelo Ramos,Ángel AU - Fernández-Martín,Elena AU - García-Barajas,Santiago AU - García-Jiménez,María Dolores AU - García-Prim,Jose María AU - Garcia-Salcedo,José Alberto AU - Gelbenzu-Zazpe,Juan José AU - Giraldo-Ospina,Carlos Fernando AU - Gómez Hernández,María Teresa AU - Hernández,Jorge AU - Wolf,Jennifer D. Illana AU - Jáuregui Abularach,Alberto AU - Jiménez,Unai AU - López Sanz,Iker AU - Martínez-Hernández,Néstor J. AU - Martínez-Téllez,Elisabeth AU - Milla Collado,Lucía AU - Mongil Poce,Roberto AU - Moradiellos-Díez,Francisco Javier AU - Moreno-Basalobre,Ramón AU - Moreno Merino,Sergio B. AU - Quero-Valenzuela,Florencio AU - Ramírez-Gil,María Elena AU - Ramos-Izquierdo,Ricard AU - Rivo,Eduardo AU - Rodríguez-Fuster,Alberto AU - Rojo-Marcos,Rafael AU - Sanchez-Lorente,David AU - Sánchez Moreno,Laura AU - Simón,Carlos AU - Trujillo-Reyes,Juan Carlos AU - López García,Cipriano AU - Fibla Alfara,Juan José AU - Sesma Romero,Julio AU - Hernando Trancho,Florentino SN - 03002896 M3 - 10.1016/j.arbres.2021.01.039 DO - 10.1016/j.arbres.2021.01.039 UR - https://www.archbronconeumol.org/en-translated-article-surgical-risk-following-articulo-S0300289622002940 AB - IntroductionThe aim of this study was to develop a surgical risk prediction model in patients undergoing anatomic lung resections from the registry of the Spanish Video-Assisted Thoracic Surgery Group (GEVATS). MethodsData were collected from 3533 patients undergoing anatomic lung resection for any diagnosis between December 20, 2016 and March 20, 2018.We defined a combined outcome variable: death or Clavien-Dindo grade IV complication at 90 days after surgery. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed by logistic regression. Internal validation of the model was performed using resampling techniques. ResultsThe incidence of the outcome variable was 4.29% (95% CI 3.6–4.9). The variables remaining in the final logistic model were: age, sex, previous lung cancer resection, dyspnea (mMRC), right pneumonectomy, and ppo DLCO. The performance parameters of the model adjusted by resampling were: C-statistic 0.712 (95% CI 0.648–0.750), Brier score 0.042 and bootstrap shrinkage 0.854. ConclusionsThe risk prediction model obtained from the GEVATS database is a simple, valid, and reliable model that is a useful tool for establishing the risk of a patient undergoing anatomic lung resection. ER -